Updated 28 October 2008
BackgroundThis forecast for the remainder of Autumn 2008 has been derived using global forecasting models and statistical methods. Seasonal trends affect large geographic areas, so the forecast for the UK is cast in the broader picture for Europe as a whole.
Forecasts are probabilistic and are expressed as variations from 1971-2000 averages. The remainder of autumn, in this context, refers to the period up to the end of November.
Forecast for the remainder of Autumn 2008
Temperature
Temperatures are likely to continue to be near or below average across much of central and western Europe including the UK.
Rainfall
For much of northern Europe, including the UK, probabilities favour near- or below-average rainfall. In southern Europe above-average rainfall is more likely.
Updates and reviews of the forecast
This is the last update for autumn. Climate summaries for the UK charting observed conditions during Autumn 2008 will be issued in November and December.
